Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.161595 0.182275 0.204034 0.228581 0.255451 0.283913 0.316287
2025-04-06 0.132928 0.160589 0.191261 0.227609 0.269317 0.315487 0.370263
2025-04-13 0.112100 0.143922 0.180863 0.226523 0.281029 0.343585 0.420358
2025-04-20 0.097953 0.132865 0.175086 0.229230 0.296096 0.375216 0.475094
2025-04-27 0.088262 0.125837 0.172977 0.235426 0.314852 0.411315 0.536018
2025-05-04 0.078235 0.117073 0.167548 0.236502 0.326641 0.438774 0.586907
2025-05-11 0.071498 0.111819 0.165919 0.241873 0.343584 0.472775 0.646646
2025-05-18 0.066041 0.107658 0.165180 0.247993 0.361342 0.508034 0.708756
2025-05-25 0.058881 0.100257 0.159237 0.246368 0.368306 0.529106 0.752792
2025-06-01 0.053078 0.094228 0.154634 0.246056 0.376660 0.551890 0.799342
2025-06-08 0.047848 0.088516 0.149953 0.245134 0.383811 0.572941 0.843826
2025-06-15 0.044783 0.085911 0.149620 0.250337 0.399573 0.605950 0.905086
2025-06-22 0.040542 0.081061 0.145635 0.250047 0.407673 0.629004 0.954020
2025-06-29 0.036708 0.076496 0.141709 0.249512 0.415225 0.651351 1.002430
2025-07-06 0.033221 0.072157 0.137779 0.248635 0.422061 0.672698 1.049820
2025-07-13 0.030836 0.069554 0.136470 0.251722 0.434852 0.702823 1.110247
2025-07-20 0.029315 0.068399 0.137478 0.258501 0.453431 0.741767 1.184115
2025-07-27 0.027009 0.065481 0.135211 0.259718 0.463294 0.768010 1.240107
2025-08-03 0.025618 0.064224 0.135742 0.265541 0.480504 0.805512 1.313239
2025-08-10 0.024445 0.063288 0.136754 0.272157 0.499109 0.845475 1.390751
2025-08-17 0.022226 0.059907 0.133042 0.270418 0.504079 0.864770 1.437917
2025-08-24 0.020392 0.057144 0.130259 0.270087 0.511223 0.887434 1.490448
2025-08-31 0.018645 0.054364 0.127225 0.269097 0.517138 0.908218 1.540436